U.S. stock futures rise slightly following Trump’s bill passing the Senate; ADP data will be released

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U.S. stock futures ticked up slightly Wednesday as investors absorbed the Senate’s approval of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tax-and-spending package, while awaiting key labor market data.

As of 05:35 ET (09:35 GMT), Dow Jones futures were up 75 points (0.2%), S&P 500 futures gained 10 points (0.2%), and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 25 points (0.1%). Major indexes traded within narrow ranges on Tuesday, ending the session mixed.

Senate Passes Trump’s Fiscal Package

The Senate narrowly passed President Trump’s expansive “One Big Beautiful Bill,” which now moves to the House of Representatives. Lawmakers aim to have it signed into law by July 4. The legislation extends Trump’s 2017 tax cuts, adds new tax relief measures, and boosts spending on defense and border security. While Trump has praised the bill as a cornerstone of his economic agenda, some Republicans have voiced concerns over its projected $3 trillion impact on the federal debt.

Trade Hopes Ahead of Tariff Deadline

Investors are also monitoring trade talks as a July 9 deadline looms for Trump’s temporary suspension of several tariffs. Recent developments—including a U.S.-China trade agreement, Canada’s reversal of a proposed digital tax, and indications that India is open to a deal—have lifted hopes for additional agreements.

Trump has ruled out extending the deadline and plans to formally notify countries of tariff terms via letter. According to the Financial Times, the administration is now pivoting toward phased, narrowly scoped agreements to lock in quick wins.

Focus Turns to Labor Market

On the data front, attention turns to ADP’s private payroll report, due before the opening bell. Economists expect a gain of 120,000 jobs in June, a sharp rebound from May’s 37,000. Tuesday’s JOLTS data showed an uptick in job openings but weaker hiring, suggesting some cooling in an otherwise strong labor market.

More insight will come with Thursday’s nonfarm payrolls report, a key input for the Federal Reserve as it weighs its policy path. Fed Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious, data-driven stance during his remarks at the ECB’s Sintra forum, despite ongoing criticism from President Trump.

Tesla Rebounds After Musk-Trump Clash

Tesla (TSLA) shares bounced slightly after Tuesday’s selloff, triggered by renewed tensions between Trump and Elon Musk. The President accused Musk of benefiting too heavily from federal subsidies and suggested a review of Tesla’s government support—an escalation tied to Musk’s criticism of the tax-and-spending bill.

Oil Holds Steady Amid Ceasefire Hopes, Inventory Build

Crude prices were largely unchanged as markets weighed news of progress toward an Israel-Hamas ceasefire and a surprise rise in U.S. oil inventories. President Trump announced that Israel had accepted a 60-day truce, urging Hamas to do the same.

Data from the American Petroleum Institute showed a build of 0.68 million barrels in U.S. crude stockpiles last week—following five consecutive weeks of steep draws. The official EIA inventory report is due later Wednesday.

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